Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 21.742130 24.687119 27.897416 31.658949 35.948584 40.691578 46.338543
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 17.380056 21.183201 25.639482 31.254814 38.154510 46.371998 56.926840
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 14.098470 18.309857 23.575134 30.660218 39.975395 51.847179 68.194118
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 11.862439 16.347511 22.306033 30.835205 42.789768 59.037073 82.944628
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 10.222322 14.898460 21.477971 31.465775 46.345691 67.853481 101.591206
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.770763 13.474228 20.460253 31.671719 49.372296 76.505954 121.760304
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.845795 12.675684 20.231175 33.023032 54.382237 89.043479 150.410191
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.871348 11.638253 19.467450 33.409187 57.956501 100.007130 178.825191
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.858819 10.370196 18.124737 32.603305 59.400678 107.713381 203.301709
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.098532 9.410816 17.151788 32.275057 61.639362 117.250953 233.188392
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.665551 8.970721 17.033244 33.499789 67.013613 133.639403 279.919819
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.336467 8.672031 17.129508 35.160023 73.570637 153.620471 338.486924
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.894933 8.096252 16.628290 35.606857 77.910792 170.314652 394.771354
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.375292 7.274324 15.496283 34.529117 78.802869 179.895902 437.509701
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.930331 6.537683 14.424165 33.394088 79.374443 188.965952 481.528655
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.620450 6.048304 13.813077 33.210060 82.177034 203.957628 544.455984
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.388585 5.699047 13.462718 33.589830 86.473309 223.627221 625.078359
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.161331 5.322509 12.985871 33.571301 89.776150 241.548920 705.882179
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.028464 5.155808 12.992980 34.809879 96.724887 270.870943 828.070361
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.860102 4.870370 12.653277 35.060257 101.016285 293.831820 937.620283
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.657625 4.461445 11.923814 34.091655 101.607739 306.245964 1017.392190
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.502018 4.153191 11.412779 33.652733 103.703349 323.736364 1119.287152
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.424189 4.048816 11.449283 34.853375 111.179371 359.963242 1297.326289